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BA
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 31, 2021 at 7pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
MD

Burton Albion
1 - 2
MK Dons

O'Riley (67' og.)
Blake-Tracy (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bird (58'), Darling (63')
Jules (66')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for MK Dons in this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawMK Dons
36.34%24.94%38.72%
Both teams to score 57.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.6%45.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.26%67.73%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.49%24.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.03%58.96%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75%23.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.84%57.15%
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 36.34%
    MK Dons 38.72%
    Draw 24.93%
Burton AlbionDrawMK Dons
2-1 @ 8.22%
1-0 @ 8.01%
2-0 @ 5.63%
3-1 @ 3.85%
3-2 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 2.64%
4-1 @ 1.36%
4-2 @ 0.99%
4-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 36.34%
1-1 @ 11.68%
2-2 @ 6%
0-0 @ 5.7%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.93%
1-2 @ 8.53%
0-1 @ 8.31%
0-2 @ 6.06%
1-3 @ 4.15%
0-3 @ 2.95%
2-3 @ 2.92%
1-4 @ 1.51%
0-4 @ 1.08%
2-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 38.72%

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