Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for MK Dons in this match.
