SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Reading |
33.21% ( -0.71) | 24.8% ( -0.52) | 41.98% ( 1.24) |
| Both teams to score 57.77% ( 1.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.65% ( 2.18) | 45.35% ( -2.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.31% ( 2.05) | 67.69% ( -2.04) |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.71% ( 0.62) | 26.29% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.58% ( 0.81) | 61.42% ( -0.81) |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.38% ( 1.54) | 21.62% ( -1.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.27% ( 2.31) | 54.73% ( -2.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Reading |
| 2-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.59)2-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.3)3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.26% Total : 33.21% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.2)0-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.55)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.8% | 1-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.41)0-2 @ 6.67% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.28)0-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.24)1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.18)0-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.12)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.51% Total : 41.98% |
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