Although Leyton Orient will be targeting a fourth straight win, we think that they may have to settle for a point against a Reading side that has proven to be a tough team to beat on home turf, having avoided defeat in each of their last four home matches.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
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