Reading may have won just one away league game this season, but they have drawn four of their last five away matches in the third tier, and we think that they will do enough to hold Stevenage to a draw in Tuesday's contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 52.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Reading had a probability of 23.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.