Given their points deductions and recent improvements, these two sides are arguably both better than the current league standings suggest, and we anticipate a tight contest on Saturday and see a share of the spoils as the most likely outcome.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 2-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
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