Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
0.05) 
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