Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 64.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 14.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.