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League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
FG

Plymouth
2 - 0
Forest Green

Bolton (7'), Mumba (47')
FT(HT: 1-0)

O'Keeffe (60')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-0 Forest Green Rovers

Knowing they have no more room for error with the gap to Ipswich reduced to two points, Plymouth will be desperate to return to winning ways on home turf at the weekend and should have more than enough quality to see off a Forest Green Rovers side lacking any confidence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 70.59%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 12.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-2 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawForest Green Rovers
70.59% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 17.3% (-0.012 -0.01) 12.11% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.73% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.77% (0.024999999999999 0.02)37.22% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.57% (0.027000000000001 0.03)59.43% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.6% (0.010999999999996 0.01)9.4% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.38% (0.027000000000001 0.03)31.62% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.19% (0.00099999999999767 0)41.8% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.73% (0.0019999999999989 0)78.27% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 70.59%
    Forest Green Rovers 12.11%
    Draw 17.3%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawForest Green Rovers
2-0 @ 10.98%
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 9.29% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.55% (0.0029999999999992 0)
4-0 @ 5.12% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-1 @ 4.47% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 2.42% (0.0029999999999997 0)
5-1 @ 2.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.002 0)
6-0 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
5-2 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 70.59%
1-1 @ 8.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 17.3%
1-2 @ 3.53% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-1 @ 3.43% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.49% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 12.11%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Barnsley 3-0 Plymouth
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 2-1 Derby
Tuesday, March 7 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 2-0 Charlton
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 5-2 Plymouth
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 1-1 Cheltenham (3-2 pen.)
Tuesday, February 21 at 8pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Plymouth 0-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 1-3 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 2-1 Forest Green
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 4-0 Forest Green
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 0-1 Charlton
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Forest Green
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League One


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