SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 70.59%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 12.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-2 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
70.59% ( 0.02) | 17.3% ( -0.01) | 12.11% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.73% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.77% ( 0.02) | 37.22% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.57% ( 0.03) | 59.43% ( -0.03) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.6% ( 0.01) | 9.4% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 68.38% ( 0.03) | 31.62% ( -0.03) |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.19% ( 0) | 41.8% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.73% ( 0) | 78.27% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 2-0 @ 10.98% 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0)1-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.66% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.55% ( 0)4-0 @ 5.12% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.47% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.42% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.11% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0)6-0 @ 0.95% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 3.3% Total : 70.59% | 1-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.93% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.3% | 1-2 @ 3.53% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.43% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.49% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 1.41% Total : 12.11% |
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