Rochdale
2 - 1
Fleetwood

Lund (13'), Tavares (90')
Beesley (39')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Saunders (77')
Hill (55'), Evans (90+1')

Build‑up

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 46.45%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Rochdale	Draw	Fleetwood Town
27.26%	26.29%	46.45%

Both teams to score 49.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.8%

54.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.39%

75.6%

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.02%

34.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.28%

71.72%

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.7%

23.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.75%

57.24%

Score Analysis

Rochdale 27.26%

Fleetwood Town 46.45%

Draw 26.29%

Rochdale	Draw	Fleetwood Town
1-0 @ 8.56% 2-1 @ 6.55% 2-0 @ 4.5% 3-1 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.67% 3-0 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.11% Total : 27.26%	1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 8.15% 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.29%	0-1 @ 11.87% 1-2 @ 9.08% 0-2 @ 8.65% 1-3 @ 4.41% 0-3 @ 4.2% 2-3 @ 2.32% 1-4 @ 1.61% 0-4 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.79% Total : 46.45%