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League One | Gameweek 4
Aug 21, 2021 at 3pm UK
Priestfield Stadium
M

Gillingham
2 - 1
Morecambe

Carayol (4'), Oliver (79' pen.)
Oliver (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Stockton (25')
Cooney (46'), Lavelle (51')
Coverage of the League One clash between Gillingham and Morecambe.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawMorecambe
43.43%26.46%30.11%
Both teams to score 51.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.52%53.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25%75.01%
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.55%24.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.12%58.89%
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.58%32.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.06%68.94%
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 43.43%
    Morecambe 30.11%
    Draw 26.46%
GillinghamDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 11.16%
2-1 @ 8.86%
2-0 @ 7.86%
3-1 @ 4.16%
3-0 @ 3.69%
3-2 @ 2.34%
4-1 @ 1.47%
4-0 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 43.43%
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 7.93%
2-2 @ 4.99%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 8.93%
1-2 @ 7.08%
0-2 @ 5.03%
1-3 @ 2.66%
0-3 @ 1.89%
2-3 @ 1.87%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 30.11%

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