Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 36.14%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.64%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rotherham United in this match.