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Saturday, April 27
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League One | Gameweek 34
Feb 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Priestfield Stadium
PA

Gillingham
0 - 2
Plymouth


Lee (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Garrick (46'), Jephcott (76' pen.)
Wilson (30')

We said: Gillingham X-Y Plymouth Argyle

Gillingham have endured an underwhelming campaign so far and face the risk of dropping down to the fourth tier as they find themselves at the wrong end of the table. After struggling for form at the turn of the year, Plymouth Argyle appear to have found their rhythm once again and could pick up a fourth straight league win this weekend. We anticipate a one-sided affair with the visitors claiming all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawPlymouth Argyle
27.83%26.59%45.58%
Both teams to score 49.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.97%55.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.71%76.29%
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.04%34.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.29%71.7%
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.92%24.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.64%58.35%
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 27.83%
    Plymouth Argyle 45.58%
    Draw 26.58%
GillinghamDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 8.85%
2-1 @ 6.62%
2-0 @ 4.65%
3-1 @ 2.32%
3-2 @ 1.65%
3-0 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 27.83%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 8.42%
2-2 @ 4.71%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 11.98%
1-2 @ 8.97%
0-2 @ 8.53%
1-3 @ 4.26%
0-3 @ 4.05%
2-3 @ 2.24%
1-4 @ 1.52%
0-4 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 45.58%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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