We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-1 Shrewsbury Town
Given the form of the two sides, we can only envisage a narrow home win on Saturday.
Shrewsbury have proven themselves to be tough to defeat, but, with renewed confidence, the hosts will back themselves to get over the line in what will be a tough test.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.
