We say: Chelsea 4-1 Plymouth Argyle
Argyle have made a bit of a habit of producing goal-laden performances on the road and may fancy their chances against a youthful and depleted Chelsea backline, but their own issues in the defensive third could cost them dear once more.
With the Premier League title slipping further and further away from them, Chelsea ought to go strong in their bid for a shot at domestic silverware, and a simple route into the fifth round should await Tuchel's men.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 74.89%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.13%) and 3-0 (10.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.66%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (3.23%).
