Morecambe will have taken confidence from their recent run, and they will certainly be the fresher of the two sides heading into this match. Ipswich have picked up 26 home points this season, though, and we are fully expecting the Blues to secure all three points on Tuesday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 79.85%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 6.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.9%) and 1-0 (10.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.48%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
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