Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Exeter City
42.8% ( -0.62)	24.79% ( 0.17)	32.42% ( 0.45)

Both teams to score 57.56% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.49% (

-0.62)

45.51% (

0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.16% (

-0.59)

67.84% (

0.59)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.7% (

-0.54)

21.31% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.75% (

-0.84)

54.25% (

0.85)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.14% (

-0.02)

26.86% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.83% (

-0.02)

62.17% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 42.8%

Exeter City 32.42%

Draw 24.78%

Burton Albion	Draw	Exeter City
2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.58% Total : 42.8%	1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.78%	1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 32.42%