SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 56.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 20.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portsmouth in this match.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Burton Albion |
56.52% ( -0.57) | 22.64% ( 0.2) | 20.84% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 54.18% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.91% ( -0.41) | 45.09% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.56% ( -0.39) | 67.44% ( 0.39) |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.25% ( -0.33) | 15.75% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.14% ( -0.62) | 44.86% ( 0.62) |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.31% ( 0.14) | 35.69% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.54% ( 0.14) | 72.46% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portsmouth | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 1-0 @ 10.39% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.43% Total : 56.52% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.63% | 0-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.88% Total : 20.84% |
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