Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 56.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 20.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portsmouth in this match.
-0.57) 
0.2) 
