Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 47.01%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
-0.06) 
0) 
