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League One | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
RL

Stevenage
1 - 1
Reading

Kemp (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Knibbs (82')
Elliott (65')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 1-0 Reading
Tuesday, November 5 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Stevenage 2-1 Reading

Stevenage come into Saturday on the back of consecutive home losses following a three-match winning streak on their turf, while Reading have struggled with away results. Given the history of just four away wins in League One since Selles took over in July 2023 (including last season's 1-0 triumph in the corresponding fixture), we back the hosts to secure a marginal success at the Royals' expense. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Reading had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
StevenageDrawReading
46.7% (3.277 3.28) 24.34% (0.378 0.38) 28.95% (-3.657 -3.66)
Both teams to score 57.22% (-3.298 -3.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.86% (-3.472 -3.47)45.13% (3.474 3.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.52% (-3.42 -3.42)67.48% (3.421 3.42)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)19.44% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.72% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)51.28% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (-4.08 -4.08)28.96% (4.08 4.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.14% (-5.357 -5.36)64.85% (5.358 5.36)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 46.7%
    Reading 28.95%
    Draw 24.34%
StevenageDrawReading
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.332 0.33)
1-0 @ 9.22% (1.301 1.3)
2-0 @ 7.55% (1.063 1.06)
3-1 @ 5.11% (0.178 0.18)
3-0 @ 4.12% (0.579 0.58)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.264 -0.26)
4-1 @ 2.09% (0.072 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.236 0.24)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 46.7%
1-1 @ 11.42% (0.41 0.41)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.479 -0.48)
0-0 @ 5.63% (0.797 0.8)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.283 -0.28)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.34%
1-2 @ 7.08% (-0.582 -0.58)
0-1 @ 6.98% (0.254 0.25)
0-2 @ 4.32% (-0.353 -0.35)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.629 -0.63)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.515 -0.52)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.382 -0.38)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.329 -0.33)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 28.95%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Guiseley (5-4 pen.)
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Stevenage 1-4 Bolton
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 2-0 Stevenage
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 0-2 Cambridge
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Mansfield 0-1 Stevenage
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-0 Stevenage
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-0 Reading
Tuesday, November 5 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Reading 2-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Stockport 4-1 Reading
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 1-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, October 26 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Reading
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 4-1 Crawley
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in League One


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