Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Reading had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stevenage | Draw | Reading |
46.7% ( 3.28) | 24.34% ( 0.38) | 28.95% ( -3.66) |
Both teams to score 57.22% ( -3.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.86% ( -3.47) | 45.13% ( 3.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.52% ( -3.42) | 67.48% ( 3.42) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.56% ( -0.02) | 19.44% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.72% ( -0.02) | 51.28% ( 0.02) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.04% ( -4.08) | 28.96% ( 4.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.14% ( -5.36) | 64.85% ( 5.36) |
Score Analysis |
Stevenage | Draw | Reading |
2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.33) 1-0 @ 9.22% ( 1.3) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 1.06) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.58) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.26) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.24) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.1% Total : 46.7% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.48) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.8) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.28) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.34% | 1-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.58) 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.35) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.63) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.52) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.38) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.33) Other @ 2.56% Total : 28.95% |
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