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Wrexham AFC
League One | Gameweek 11
Nov 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
SToK Cae Ras
LC
Lincoln City

Wrexham
1 - 0
Lincoln

Darikwa (67' og.)
Brunt (11')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Exeter
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 2-3 Wycombe
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wrexham 2-1 Lincoln City

Both teams have made strong starts to the season as they battle for promotion, but with Wrexham unbeaten in their first eight home matches and the visitors without a win in their last three league fixtures, we believe the hosts will emerge victorious here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result
WrexhamDrawLincoln City
40.88% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03) 28.1%31.02% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 46.64% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.71% (0.012 0.01)59.28% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.31% (0.010000000000002 0.01)79.69% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.53% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)28.47% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.76% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)64.24% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.21% (0.031999999999996 0.03)34.79% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.47% (0.032 0.03)71.52% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 40.88%
    Lincoln City 31.01%
    Draw 28.09%
WrexhamDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 12.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.25% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.46% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.82%
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 40.88%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 9.91% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.09%
0-1 @ 10.45%
1-2 @ 6.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.52% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.44% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.94% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 31.01%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Exeter
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stockport 1-0 Wrexham
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 1-1 Wrexham (3-1 pen.)
Tuesday, November 12 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Mansfield
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Harrogate 1-0 Wrexham
Sunday, November 3 at 3.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Charlton 2-2 Wrexham
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 2-3 Wycombe
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Lincoln
Saturday, November 16 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 5-0 Man City U21s
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Chesham 0-4 Lincoln
Monday, November 4 at 7.15pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Northampton
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in League One


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