Mansfield may be experiencing a poor run of form, but they tend to fare well in home meetings with Northampton, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage to get their league campaign back on track with a narrow victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 63.15%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 14.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.54%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.03) 
