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League Two | Gameweek 28
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Sixfields
MT

Northampton
1 - 0
Mansfield

Hoskins (28' pen.)
J (5'), Haynes (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wallace (4'), Pym (27'), Law (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hartlepool 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-3 Mansfield
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Northampton Town 1-2 Mansfield Town

Even with their treatment room nearing full capacity, Mansfield's continued commitment to attacking has been admirable, and Northampton's resistance should prove futile at a ground where success has often eluded them in recent times. Also working around jellied legs and their own injury crisis, Tuesday's recipe is seemingly one for defeat for Brady's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawMansfield Town
31.82% (-1.192 -1.19) 28.09% (0.149 0.15) 40.08% (1.042 1.04)
Both teams to score 46.93% (-0.732 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.94% (-0.77500000000001 -0.78)59.05% (0.772 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.49% (-0.601 -0.6)79.51% (0.59899999999999 0.6)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.92% (-1.242 -1.24)34.08% (1.24 1.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.23% (-1.358 -1.36)70.76% (1.356 1.36)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.19% (0.22500000000001 0.23)28.81% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.33% (0.279 0.28)64.66% (-0.28 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 31.83%
    Mansfield Town 40.07%
    Draw 28.09%
Northampton TownDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 10.57% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.08% (-0.232 -0.23)
2-0 @ 5.69% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-1 @ 2.54% (-0.173 -0.17)
3-0 @ 2.04% (-0.153 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 31.83%
1-1 @ 13.15% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.82% (0.283 0.28)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.115 -0.11)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.09%
0-1 @ 12.21% (0.42 0.42)
1-2 @ 8.18% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.6% (0.311 0.31)
1-3 @ 3.39% (0.047 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.15% (0.148 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.021 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 40.07%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 1-1 Northampton
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 0-1 Northampton
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, February 18 at 2pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-3 Mansfield
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-5 Salford City
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 0-2 Mansfield
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 0-4 Mansfield
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-0 Gillingham
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-1 Mansfield
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League Two


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