Stevenage may have won the league fixture last month, but they have not won in 90 minutes since, losing three and drawing four, including against lower-league opponents.
Mansfield have a great record away to Boro, and not much should be assumed from their recent losing run, given the level of opposition they faced, so they will fancy themselves to arrest that run and reach the third round here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.
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