Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
