We said: MK Dons 2-1 Plymouth Argyle
Plymouth have shown regularly this season that they have the quality to challenge for promotion, and their previous confidence should return at some stage. Nevertheless, we do not expect it to occur on Wednesday, leading us to predict an important victory for the home side in Milton Keynes.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
