Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
