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HL
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 7, 2020 at 3pm UK
KCOM Stadium
FT

Hull City
2 - 0
Fleetwood

Magennis (31'), Burke (63')
Smallwood (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Connolly (58'), Madden (66'), Holgate (88')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Hull City and Fleetwood Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 36.85%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.

Result
Hull CityDrawFleetwood Town
36.85%26.65%36.49%
Both teams to score 52.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.04%52.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.44%74.55%
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.24%27.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.67%63.33%
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.03%27.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.4%63.6%
Score Analysis
    Hull City 36.85%
    Fleetwood Town 36.49%
    Draw 26.65%
Hull CityDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 9.95%
2-1 @ 8.12%
2-0 @ 6.38%
3-1 @ 3.47%
3-0 @ 2.72%
3-2 @ 2.21%
4-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 36.85%
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 7.76%
2-2 @ 5.18%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 9.89%
1-2 @ 8.08%
0-2 @ 6.3%
1-3 @ 3.43%
0-3 @ 2.68%
2-3 @ 2.2%
1-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 36.49%


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