Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.