Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 64.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 14.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.94%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
