Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.