Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 23.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.