While both sides have not been in the best of form, losing their last two matches in League One, Bristol Rovers should have enough about them to get their season back on track with three points.
Given the Gas' poor defensive record, it is unlikely that they keep a clean sheet, but Collins's quality in front of goal gives them the edge in what is likely to be a free-scoring game.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
-0.46) 
0.31) 
