Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 53.94%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 23.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
