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League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
BR

Morecambe
5 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Crowley (20'), Connolly (47' og.), Love (49'), Stockton (62'), Major (88')
Gibson (45+2'), Major (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Collins (90')
Connolly (42'), McCormick (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 4-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Morecambe 2-1 Bristol Rovers

Despite their defeat against Ipswich, Morecambe have enjoyed a good run of form that they will have taken confidence from. Bristol Rovers have lost their last two matches 2-0, so we think this will be a closely-fought contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawBristol Rovers
36.52% (0.209 0.21) 26% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 37.48% (-0.189 -0.19)
Both teams to score 54.24% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.84% (0.102 0.1)50.16% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.88% (0.087 0.09)72.12% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.38% (0.167 0.17)26.62% (-0.168 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.15% (0.222 0.22)61.85% (-0.222 -0.22)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.92% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)26.08% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.87% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)61.13% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 36.52%
    Bristol Rovers 37.48%
    Draw 25.99%
MorecambeDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.17% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.08% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.61% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.68% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 36.52%
1-1 @ 12.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.94% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 9.33% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.27% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.81% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 37.48%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ipswich 4-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 2-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 5-0 Burton Albion
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 2-0 Accrington
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Morecambe
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 2-1 Morecambe
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Plymouth
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-1 Cheltenham
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-4 Exeter
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One


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