Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
0.1) 
-0.02) 
