Oxford will view Saturday's contest as a chance to return to winning ways against the relegation-threatened Robins, but after drawing three of their last five home matches, we think that they will be held to a point by a Cheltenham side that has seen two of their previous four games finish all square.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 56.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 19.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
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