Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
47.47% ( 0.42) | 26.09% ( 0.01) | 26.45% ( -0.43) |
Both teams to score 49.85% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.07% ( -0.29) | 53.93% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.62% ( -0.24) | 75.38% ( 0.25) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.28% ( 0.07) | 22.72% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.61% ( 0.1) | 56.39% ( -0.1) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.5% ( -0.51) | 35.5% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.74% ( -0.53) | 72.26% ( 0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
1-0 @ 11.95% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.94% Total : 47.47% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.01% Total : 26.45% |
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