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Sunday, May 7
OU
Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 38
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
CT
Cheltenham Town
Oxford Utd
4 - 0
Cheltenham
Goodrham (38'), Joseph (52'), Browne (60', 65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Broom (45+3'), Ferry (75'), Rea (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 2-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 3-1 Forest Green
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 1-1 Cheltenham Town

Oxford have netted just six goals in their last eight games at the Kassam Stadium, and Cheltenham have lost seven of their 10 road matches in 2023. Neither side can be backed for success on Tuesday night, making a stalemate likely. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
47.47% (0.424 0.42) 26.09% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 26.45% (-0.426 -0.43)
Both teams to score 49.85% (-0.347 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.07% (-0.288 -0.29)53.93% (0.291 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.62% (-0.242 -0.24)75.38% (0.245 0.25)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.28% (0.070999999999998 0.07)22.72% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.61% (0.105 0.1)56.39% (-0.102 -0.1)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.5% (-0.506 -0.51)35.5% (0.509 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.74% (-0.528 -0.53)72.26% (0.53099999999999 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 47.47%
    Cheltenham Town 26.45%
    Draw 26.08%
Oxford UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.95% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.86% (0.136 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.53% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.37% (0.076 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.68% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 47.47%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.06% (0.091 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 8.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.33% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 26.45%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Barnsley 2-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Portsmouth
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Bolton
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 0-0 Oxford Utd
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Sheff Weds
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 0-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 3-1 Forest Green
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 2-2 Cheltenham
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-1 Ipswich
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 2-0 Cheltenham
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-2 Sheff Weds
Wednesday, March 29 at 7.45pm in League One
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League One Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPlymouth ArgylePlymouth463187824735101
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds462812681374496
4Barnsley462681280473386
5Bolton WanderersBolton4623121162362681
6Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462451775542177
7Derby CountyDerby4621131267462176
8Portsmouth4617191061501170
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe46209175951869
10Charlton AthleticCharlton461614167066462
11Lincoln CityLincoln461420124747062
12Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46178215261-959
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood461416165351258
14Exeter CityExeter461511206468-456
15Burton Albion461511205779-2256
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham461412204561-1654
17Bristol Rovers461411215873-1553
18Port Vale461310234871-2349
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461114214956-747
20Cambridge UnitedCambridge46137264168-2746
RMK Dons461112234466-2245
22Morecambe461014224778-3144
RAccrington StanleyAccrington461111244077-3744
RForest Green RoversForest Green4669313189-5827
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