Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 56.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 20.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.12%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
0.05) 
-0.08) 
