Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
44.96% (![]() | 25.41% (![]() | 29.63% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.11% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.59% (![]() | 49.41% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.55% (![]() | 71.45% (![]() |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.04% (![]() | 21.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.76% (![]() | 55.24% (![]() |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.34% (![]() | 30.66% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.09% (![]() | 66.91% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
1-0 @ 10.2% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.15% 2-0 @ 7.74% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.62% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.91% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 2.33% Total : 44.95% | 1-1 @ 12.06% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.73% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.41% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 7.96% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.13% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.7% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.81% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.85% ( ![]() Other @ 3.04% Total : 29.63% |
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