Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 63.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 15.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
