Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
4.92) 
-0.62) 
