Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
0.23) 
-0.23) 
