SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 57.55%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 20.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Exeter City win it was 2-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Peterborough United |
20.44% ( -1.48) | 22.02% ( -0.38) | 57.55% ( 1.87) |
| Both teams to score 55.64% ( -0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.14% ( -0.2) | 42.86% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.74% ( -0.2) | 65.26% ( 0.2) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.19% ( -1.53) | 34.81% ( 1.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.46% ( -1.65) | 71.54% ( 1.65) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.35% ( 0.54) | 14.65% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.22% ( 1.03) | 42.78% ( -1.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 2-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.31) 1-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 1% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.01% Total : 20.44% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.2)0-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.01% | 1-2 @ 9.93% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 9.41% ( 0.43)1-3 @ 6.36% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 6.02% ( 0.38)2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 3.05% ( 0.13)0-4 @ 2.89% ( 0.24)2-4 @ 1.61% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.17% ( 0.07)0-5 @ 1.11% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.85% Total : 57.55% |
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