Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
-0) 
0.01) 
