SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 66.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 14.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Exeter City |
66.56% ( 0.35) | 18.47% ( -0.09) | 14.96% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 56.85% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.07% ( -0.13) | 35.93% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.98% ( -0.14) | 58.02% ( 0.14) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.99% ( 0.05) | 10.01% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.95% ( 0.11) | 33.05% ( -0.11) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.18% ( -0.41) | 36.82% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.39% ( -0.41) | 73.6% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough United | Draw | Exeter City |
| 2-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.13% Total : 66.56% | 1-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.47% | 1-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.17% Total : 14.96% |
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