Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.52%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.