Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 46.63%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
