Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
