Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.